Assessing the risk of suicide is perhaps the most important part of risk assessment. Suicide is an act that cannot be reversed. You cannot do anything for the person once they are dead. The main strategies for suicide, therefore, emphasise effective prevention by identifying and treating people early when they are at risk of committing suicide.
The need to assess the risk arises in two situations:
In both these situations, there are some common risk indicators, for example being jobless, of lower educational status and being in either a younger or an older age group. These are discussed in more detail in Study Session 18. The risk of suicide has to be considered to some extent in all cases of mental illness, particularly those priority conditions listed in Box 10.1. The main risk indicators for someone with mental illness are shown in Box. 10.3.
The terms 'self-harm' and 'suicide attempt' are used here interchangeably.
When someone has already attempted suicide, their risk of suicide is about 100 times higher than that in the general population. This risk is particularly high in the first year after the original attempt. It is therefore crucial that you closely monitor the risk of suicide after an attempt has been made. Be open with the patient, asking about the risk as a matter of fact.
Most people who self-harm do not intend to kill themselves or end their life. In low-income countries like Ethiopia, many die even when they don't intend to do so. This is because the methods they use to self-harm are dangerous. For example, certain poisons, such as pesticides used by farmers, are fatal if swallowed unless the person gets immediate medical help – which is not available in most rural communities.
In Ethiopia, up to 20% of individuals self-harming may end up dying. This figure is about 1% in high-income countries. It is therefore important to identify people who self-harm. Box 10.4 lists some factors that indicate a risk for serious self-harm. Establishing the intent of the person when they self-harmed (whether they were intending to die, or self-harming to indicate their mental distress), gives you a good clue about future risk. If there are indicators of a serious intent to end their life, the risk of successful suicide in the future is high.
Note that the factors described in Box 10.3 are also important.